Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 1035 | 67% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
1267 | 963 | 85% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
963 | 1044 | 39% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
1151 | 985 | 72% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
1048 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
1054 | 959 | 63% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
1068 | 919 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
1017 | 1019 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
1092 | 1009 | 62% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1039.4 has a 56.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).