Viking Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2026-02-12 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1176 | 53% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2025-12-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 947 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1079 vs 1043 has a 55.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).