The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (5 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 1052 | 28% | 2026-04-02 | Lost |
| 955 | 1206 | 19% | 2025-12-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1055 | 49% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1205 | 1200 | 51% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1188 | 996 | 75% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1101.8 has a 43.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).