The First Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3 (2 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (New Zealand): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1074 | 46% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2024-04-15 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1026 vs 1043.5 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).