Raff's Distress
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (8 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 1076 | 28% | 2026-01-20 | Lost |
| 968 | 1123 | 29% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 984 | 58% | 2024-07-17 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1079 | 53% | 2023-06-19 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2023-05-02 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2023-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1067.1 has a 45.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).