Raff's Distress
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 908 | 1115 | 23% | 2026-01-20 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2025-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 967 | 63% | 2024-07-17 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2024-01-23 | A | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2024-01-17 | A | Lost |
| 1102 | 1063 | 56% | 2023-06-19 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1182 | 25% | 2023-05-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1058.6 has a 44.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).