Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1098 | 51% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 990 | 1021 | 46% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 949 | 1192 | 20% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 1098 | 30% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1101.4 has a 38.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).