Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 1
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1121 | 49% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1017 | 70% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 934 | 1165 | 21% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1070 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).