The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 908 | 75% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1085 | 49% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 972 | 1046 | 40% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1016.8 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).