The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-08-29 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1137 | 31% | 2022-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2022-07-31 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-23 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-20 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1035.5 has a 46.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).