Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 5
Defender wins (Eritrean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1041 | 46% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1219 | 24% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1121 | 30% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 934 | 1165 | 21% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 975.8 vs 1104.6 has a 32.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).