Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Eritrean): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2026-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2025-08-27 | | Won |
| 986 | 1068 | 38% | 2023-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1137 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-07-29 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1076 | 41% | 2022-07-02 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-06 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1005.3 vs 1041 has a 44.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).