Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1102 | 1040 | 59% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1208 | 1256 | 43% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1184 | 29% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 918 | 71% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 850 | 1060 | 23% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1082 | 969 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 762 | 83% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1060.2 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).