Reaction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1176 | 29% | 2025-06-07 | | Tied |
| 1134 | 1133 | 50% | 2024-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2022-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2021-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2021-12-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1088.7 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).