A Less Peaceful Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Filipino): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 995 | 54% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1093 | 1038 | 58% | 2022-02-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 925 | 78% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 955 | 955 | 50% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 993 | 1125 | 32% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1020 | 994 | 54% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1045 has a 53.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).