A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1258 | 1126 | 68% | 2025-06-20 | | Won |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2021-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2020-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2020-06-22 | | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2019-09-22 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1076.9 has a 45.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).