Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (22 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1008 | 44% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1128 | 45% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 990 | 1199 | 23% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1206 | 1018 | 75% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1128 | 36% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1017 | 41% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 889 | 1017 | 32% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1029 | 1079 | 43% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1026 | 62% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 892 | 66% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 890 | 1050 | 28% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1109 | 53% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 910 | 68% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1206 | 28% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 958 | 57% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1265 | 1174 | 63% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1110 | 1138 | 46% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 996 | 68% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1072 has a 46.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).