Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Romanian): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1218 | 33% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1017 | 75% | 2025-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2024-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2024-02-09 | | Won |
| 841 | 978 | 31% | 2024-01-03 | | Won |
| 996 | 1080 | 38% | 2023-08-23 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-02-06 | | Won |
| 1080 | 881 | 76% | 2020-08-29 | | Won |
| 891 | 1041 | 30% | 2020-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2018-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1208 | 26% | 2018-04-27 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2018-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 958 | 67% | 2018-02-10 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2018-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1167 | 72% | 2018-01-06 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1189 | 42% | 2017-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-10-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1082.9 has a 45.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).