The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 995 | 48% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1126 | 1019 | 65% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 1051 | 32% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 925 | 58% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1076 | 53% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 925 | 982 | 42% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 917 | 1116 | 24% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 974 | 1130 | 29% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1125 | 31% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1007.3 vs 1040 has a 45.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).