The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1036 | 55% | 2024-10-12 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1039 | 67% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1077 | 27% | 2020-05-08 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2018-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2018-10-06 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1085 | 26% | 2018-08-04 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2017-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-10-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1138 | 51% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1062.8 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).