Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (38 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 940 | 51% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1085 | 983 | 64% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1220 | 51% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1015 | 70% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1133 | 32% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 986 | 948 | 55% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 865 | 871 | 49% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1172 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1161 | 1066 | 63% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1161 | 1066 | 63% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1033 | 993 | 56% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 1263 | 34% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1007 | 52% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 965 | 58% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 898 | 73% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1007 | 46% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 986 | 966 | 53% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1150 | 32% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1150 | 32% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1209 | 983 | 79% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 911 | 1080 | 27% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1185 | 1223 | 45% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1128 | 50% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 993 | 1033 | 44% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1178 | 25% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1001 | 48% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1053.9 vs 1055.2 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).