Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (37 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Belgian ): 63
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 940 | 53% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1083 | 1093 | 49% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1282 | 35% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1043 | 71% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 1170 | 30% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 1033 | 948 | 62% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1200 | 1063 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1200 | 1063 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 891 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1003 | 1018 | 48% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1216 | 25% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 897 | 72% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1082 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 986 | 966 | 53% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1150 | 36% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1150 | 36% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1093 | 66% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1117 | 1033 | 62% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 902 | 1194 | 16% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1078 | 57% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1003 | 52% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1204 | 27% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1067.6 has a 48.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).