Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (37 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 957 | 49% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 1128 | 42% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1266 | 25% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1168 | 897 | 83% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 970 | 1087 | 34% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 748 | 943 | 25% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 913 | 43% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1168 | 1061 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1168 | 1061 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1005 | 55% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1264 | 19% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 906 | 66% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 896 | 75% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1084 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 965 | 57% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1148 | 32% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1148 | 32% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1128 | 60% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 885 | 1199 | 14% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1005 | 1041 | 45% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 748 | 1189 | 7% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1046.7 has a 48.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).