Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (31 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 37
Defender wins (German): 70
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 882 | 867 | 52% | 2021-03-16 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1165 | 31% | 2020-08-23 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1169 | 33% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1169 | 33% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 903 | 991 | 38% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1069 | 44% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1021 | 81% | 2018-06-21 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1040 | 58% | 2017-08-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1024 | 56% | 2017-08-26 | Lost |
| 931 | 1020 | 37% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 897 | 1082 | 26% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1065 | 976 | 63% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 980 | 1015 | 45% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 1139 | 994 | 70% | 2017-06-15 | Won |
| 1139 | 994 | 70% | 2017-06-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2017-05-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1218 | 25% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2017-04-27 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2017-04-23 | Won |
| 1116 | 917 | 76% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1024 | 56% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2017-02-16 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2017-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1045.3 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).