Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1225 | 49% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 944 | 982 | 45% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 983 | 1016 | 45% | 2024-06-16 | Won |
| 1148 | 1109 | 56% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 958 | 944 | 52% | 2024-01-29 | Won |
| 827 | 944 | 34% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 944 | 60% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 970 | 61% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 936 | 944 | 49% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 948 | 60% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1226 | 39% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 1261 | 1017 | 80% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1017 | 61% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1216 | 21% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1033 | 47% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1171 | 32% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 1106 | 918 | 75% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2020-02-24 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2019-12-06 | Won |
| 1023 | 970 | 58% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 944 | 1003 | 42% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1031 | 45% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1148 | 34% | 2018-06-18 | Lost |
| 915 | 886 | 54% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 962 | 944 | 53% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 927 | 54% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
| 856 | 1090 | 21% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 869 | 846 | 53% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 918 | 927 | 49% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1065 | 927 | 69% | 2016-01-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1261 | 17% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1009.7 vs 1011.7 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).