Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 495 (40 on the archive and 455 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 252
Defender wins (American): 243
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2025-04-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2025-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1222 | 1000 | 78% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 950 | 982 | 45% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-06-16 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2024-01-29 | | Won |
| 808 | 950 | 31% | 2023-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2023-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2023-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 970 | 61% | 2023-01-14 | | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2022-03-08 | | Won |
| 1029 | 948 | 61% | 2022-03-03 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-01-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 996 | 78% | 2021-07-09 | | Won |
| 1152 | 996 | 71% | 2021-07-05 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-02-27 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2021-01-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2020-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2020-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1169 | 33% | 2020-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 927 | 73% | 2020-03-31 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2019-12-06 | | Won |
| 982 | 970 | 52% | 2019-06-07 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-04-08 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1032 | 45% | 2018-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1075 | 44% | 2018-06-18 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-05-04 | | Lost |
| 929 | 950 | 47% | 2017-08-12 | | Lost |
| 955 | 926 | 54% | 2017-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2016-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2016-10-15 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-09-27 | | Lost |
| 927 | 926 | 50% | 2016-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2016-01-26 | | Won |
| 991 | 1217 | 21% | 2013-12-29 | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1015.2 vs 997.9 has a 52.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).