Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (20 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-11-30 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2024-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-11-11 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2024-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 989 | 59% | 2024-10-30 | | Won |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2024-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1170 | 57% | 2020-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1242 | 21% | 2020-05-30 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-01-01 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1107 | 40% | 2019-07-28 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-11-03 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2017-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-06-30 | | Lost |
| 893 | 1050 | 29% | 2016-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2015-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2015-11-22 | | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2015-08-03 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-07-24 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1067 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).