Ghostbusters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (French): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1000 | 72% | 2026-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1039 | 67% | 2025-07-03 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1252 | 33% | 2021-10-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1134 | 39% | 2020-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2017-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2017-08-08 | | Lost |
| 898 | 1056 | 29% | 2017-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1071 | 52% | 2017-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2016-10-09 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1159 | 74% | 2016-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1127 | 78% | 2016-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1060 | 62% | 2016-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1120 | 51% | 2016-04-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-02-17 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-12-28 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2015-11-06 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1134 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2015-10-07 | | Won |
| 994 | 1147 | 29% | 2015-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1226 | 38% | 2015-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2015-10-04 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1111.7 vs 1084.5 has a 53.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).