What Doesn’t Kill You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese / British): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1176 | 30% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 1263 | 1317 | 42% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1060 | 40% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 1187 | 901 | 84% | 2022-03-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 1263 | 18% | 2021-03-24 | Won |
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1079 | 1059 | 53% | 2018-11-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1070 | 47% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1146 | 1081 | 59% | 2016-12-13 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1146 | 47% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1102 | 37% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1182 | 44% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1226 | 37% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1088.4 vs 1123.6 has a 44.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).