Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1031 | 36% | 2017-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 893 | 68% | 2016-05-23 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1059 | 84% | 2012-05-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2012-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1070.4 has a 47.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).