Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1044 | 48% | 2025-06-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 1202 | 27% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1055 | 50% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1073 | 987 | 62% | 2022-05-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 894 | 57% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 940 | 1021 | 39% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1035 | 66% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 872 | 1263 | 10% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1053 | 74% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-07-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 986 | 60% | 2015-10-23 | Tied |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-02-02 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1160 | 32% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2013-12-10 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 1071 | 35% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1215 | 1147 | 60% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1099 | 57% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 925 | 72% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 1155 | 1140 | 52% | 2012-04-19 | Lost |
| 937 | 920 | 52% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2012-02-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 907 | 64% | 2012-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1067.1 has a 46.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).