Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (21 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 952 | 77% | 2026-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2025-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1176 | 946 | 79% | 2023-12-17 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1145 | 51% | 2023-10-27 | | Tied |
| 1159 | 780 | 90% | 2021-11-20 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
| 880 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2013-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-01-01 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-06-22 | | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2012-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2012-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2011-10-29 | | Lost |
| 920 | 1000 | 39% | 2011-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2011-09-08 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2011-05-15 | | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2010-11-28 | | Won |
| 918 | 1056 | 31% | 1988-04-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1038.5 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).