Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (18 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 933 | 79% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 976 | 1089 | 34% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1129 | 718 | 91% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1310 | 1058 | 81% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 911 | 1038 | 32% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 916 | 63% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1120 | 38% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1056 | 976 | 61% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 989 | 1011 | 47% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 971 | 43% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 933 | 1069 | 31% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1020.3 has a 52.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).