Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (19 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1077 | 47% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1196 | 946 | 81% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1123 | 36% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1177 | 780 | 91% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1274 | 1038 | 80% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1035 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1143 | 41% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 1099 | 33% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 982 | 917 | 59% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 977 | 61% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 982 | 52% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 994 | 40% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1098 | 48% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1178 | 35% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 917 | 1037 | 33% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1028.2 has a 52.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).