Light Aid Detached
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (13 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (British / Partisan (Belgian)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2026-08-27 | | Won |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2023-12-09 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 919 | 85% | 2019-03-18 | | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2016-11-13 | | Won |
| 1258 | 939 | 86% | 2015-09-19 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1141 | 68% | 2013-10-05 | | Won |
| 966 | 940 | 54% | 2012-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-01-16 | | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2011-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2011-07-17 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2011-04-26 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.5 vs 1016.7 has a 56.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).