First Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (19 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2025-12-13 | Won |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1028 | 1003 | 54% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2023-11-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 1031 | 77% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1081 | 63% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 930 | 987 | 42% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 1065 | 1003 | 59% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2014-11-22 | Won |
| 1078 | 890 | 75% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 870 | 879 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1078 | 890 | 75% | 2014-01-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1071 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1126 | 34% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2011-08-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 1196 | 44% | 2011-07-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2011-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1020.7 has a 54.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).