Clearing Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 936 | 909 | 54% | 2024-01-02 | Lost |
| 909 | 936 | 46% | 2023-12-31 | Won |
| 936 | 972 | 45% | 2023-07-06 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 878 | 828 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1094 | 62% | 2021-07-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-11-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 900 | 892 | 51% | 2020-08-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-11-15 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1089 | 67% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 878 | 631 | 81% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 909 | 61% | 2018-07-06 | Won |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 972 | 57% | 2018-03-26 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2015-09-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 972 | 68% | 2014-04-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-12-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 972 | 57% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1068 | 42% | 2010-04-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 959 | 61% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 1050 | 55% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1084 | 45% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1068 | 1011 | 58% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 827 | 827 | 50% | 2009-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1019.6 vs 990.2 has a 54.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).