The Argun Knot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (3 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Mongolian): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2025-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-01-16 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-01-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1040 has a 48.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).