Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (15 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2019-07-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-06-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 932 | 67% | 2013-01-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 1007 | 899 | 65% | 2012-07-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1073 | 58% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2008-11-11 | Won |
| 1080 | 985 | 63% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2008-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1057.3 has a 52.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).