Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2024-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 967 | 66% | 2023-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-10-22 | | Won |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2021-11-11 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 953 | 1077 | 33% | 2021-01-30 | | Won |
| 1138 | 916 | 78% | 2020-03-18 | | Won |
| 1020 | 893 | 68% | 2016-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2006-12-07 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2006-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2006-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2006-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-04-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1019.7 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).