Out of Ethiopia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 3
Defender wins (Indian (British)): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1262 | 18% | 2014-12-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2011-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1240 | 1156 | 62% | 2006-05-31 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1080 vs 1194 has a 34.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).