Nordic Twilight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (4 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2008-05-03 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1159 | 34% | 2000-06-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1997-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1141 | 40% | 1996-08-01 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1108.5 has a 46.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).