Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (36 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1019 | 47% | 2026-01-25 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1028 | 63% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1026 | 75% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 887 | 878 | 51% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1051 | 54% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1024 | 52% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 976 | 46% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 935 | 1094 | 29% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 995 | 1079 | 38% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1072 | 959 | 66% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1072 | 959 | 66% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 847 | 828 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1075 | 70% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1116 | 48% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1226 | 32% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1123 | 1147 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1099 | 56% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1342 | 24% | 2004-10-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 981 | 69% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 1999-10-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1140 | 41% | 1996-12-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1182 | 39% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1045 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1050.4 has a 52.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).