On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 901 | 65% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2007-02-22 | Won |
| 1241 | 1121 | 67% | 2006-11-28 | Won |
| 1025 | 1022 | 50% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1029 | 63% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1154 | 1128 | 54% | 2005-06-11 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1098 | 57% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1170 | 31% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1060 | 47% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1092.1 vs 1070.2 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).