Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (8 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1279 | 16% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1100 | 49% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 981 | 56% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 927 | 1053 | 33% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 872 | 72% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1043.5 has a 46.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).