Blood and Guts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (12 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2017-09-23 | Tied |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 1202 | 1228 | 46% | 2014-08-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 697 | 1125 | 8% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2002-11-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2000-01-09 | Won |
| 978 | 1122 | 30% | 1999-05-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 893 | 72% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 998.6 vs 1053.4 has a 42.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).