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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 1097 | 23% | 2020-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2019-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-10-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 937 | 59% | 2015-02-09 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1129 | 35% | 2014-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2006-04-22 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2000-10-01 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2000-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 1996-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1049.4 has a 46.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).