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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2020-03-16 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-10-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-22 | Lost |
| 858 | 878 | 47% | 2015-02-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1149 | 35% | 2014-06-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1204 | 1035 | 73% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1173 | 25% | 1996-04-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1104 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1059.6 has a 45.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).