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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 6
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1112 | 34% | 2026-10-26 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1070 | 59% | 2026-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2026-06-07 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1082.7 has a 44.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).