Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 13
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 955 | 72% | 2026-06-25 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2026-05-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 991 | 48% | 2026-05-22 | Lost |
| 1089 | 951 | 69% | 2026-05-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 1011 | 58% | 2026-04-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 1070 | 42% | 2026-03-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 971 | 50% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 909 | 1162 | 19% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 986 | 1044 | 42% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1177 | 50% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1078 | 1022 | 58% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1041.8 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).