Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 12
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2026-05-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 991 | 48% | 2026-05-22 | Lost |
| 1089 | 964 | 67% | 2026-05-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2026-04-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 1098 | 38% | 2026-03-28 | Lost |
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 899 | 1156 | 19% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 885 | 1053 | 28% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1228 | 48% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1039 | 1022 | 52% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1055.2 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).