"...Things Are Hot!"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1241 | 47% | 2026-08-31 | A | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1127 | 59% | 2026-05-17 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1138 | 52% | 2026-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2026-02-28 | A+D | Lost |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2026-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2026-02-21 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-01-22 | | Won |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2026-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2026-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1067.7 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).