The Little Can Opener
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (Finnish): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 945 | 63% | 2025-10-18 | Won |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-06-29 | Won |
| 844 | 1064 | 22% | 2025-03-25 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 959 vs 1003 has a 43.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).