Kordiyak's Woods
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (20 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 928 | 70% | 2026-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2026-03-05 | Lost |
| 995 | 1175 | 26% | 2025-10-29 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1056 | 56% | 2025-10-08 | Lost |
| 1185 | 972 | 77% | 2025-09-07 | Won |
| 1218 | 1039 | 74% | 2025-09-07 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1088 | 58% | 2025-08-23 | Won |
| 976 | 999 | 47% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 919 | 959 | 44% | 2025-07-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 990 | 56% | 2025-07-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 848 | 78% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-05-21 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
| 984 | 965 | 53% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-02-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1223 | 28% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 951 | 1120 | 27% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 983 | 65% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1012.9 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).