Balkan Betrayal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 2
Defender wins (Bulgarian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1007 | 55% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2025-05-01 | Won |
| 1194 | 1236 | 44% | 2025-04-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1117 | 56% | 2024-04-15 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1117.8 vs 1076.3 has a 55.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).