The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 971 | 44% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2026-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 1013 | 63% | 2025-07-26 | D | Won |
| 1119 | 1143 | 47% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1026 | 1090 | 41% | 2025-05-24 | | Lost |
| 835 | 866 | 46% | 2025-05-23 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1120 | 28% | 2025-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2025-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.4 vs 1038.6 has a 43.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).