The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1046 | 55% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2026-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 997 | 79% | 2025-07-26 | D | Won |
| 1143 | 1138 | 51% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1149 | 33% | 2025-05-24 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1058 | 11% | 2025-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1150 | 38% | 2025-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2025-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1093.7 has a 40.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).