The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1070 | 51% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 1144 | 1143 | 50% | 2026-02-19 | Lost |
| 962 | 1198 | 20% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1160 | 997 | 72% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 1227 | 38% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1152 | 33% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 698 | 1080 | 10% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 935 | 57% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 1097.6 has a 40.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).