Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1038 | 41% | 2026-02-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1175 | 60% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1330 | 40% | 2025-06-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 932 | 61% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1035 | 1065 | 46% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 902 | 1174 | 17% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1307 | 980 | 87% | 2025-02-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 878 | 1052 | 27% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2025-01-10 | Lost |
| 978 | 1096 | 34% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2024-12-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1174 | 50% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1106.5 has a 42.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).