Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1037 | 41% | 2026-02-14 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1176 | 58% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1330 | 40% | 2025-06-03 | Won |
| 1065 | 920 | 70% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 986 | 56% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1230 | 24% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1038 | 82% | 2025-02-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 885 | 1053 | 28% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2025-01-10 | Lost |
| 991 | 1108 | 34% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2024-12-09 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1107.3 has a 46.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).