Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2026-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1175 | 56% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2025-06-03 | | Won |
| 1056 | 920 | 69% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1024 | 55% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2025-04-26 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1214 | 26% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2025-02-15 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2025-01-30 | | Won |
| 966 | 1045 | 39% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2025-01-10 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2024-12-18 | | Lost |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2024-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2024-10-26 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1093.4 has a 44.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).