Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1033 | 71% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1046 | 80% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1148.8 vs 1059.3 has a 62.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).