Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 903 | 65% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1281 | 17% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1143 | 50% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1016 | 72% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1018 | 66% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1061.8 has a 52.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).