Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 878 | 68% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1174 | 902 | 83% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1008 | 79% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1008 | 72% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1112.3 vs 999.5 has a 65.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).