The Outskirts Of Consthum
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (4 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2024-02-16 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1256 | 50% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2023-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1123.3 vs 1073.5 has a 57.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).