Not Fade Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (20 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1427 | 1430 | 50% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 993 | 1175 | 26% | 2026-01-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 1121 | 952 | 73% | 2025-02-13 | Won |
| 1192 | 1052 | 69% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1052 | 48% | 2024-09-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Lost |
| 1227 | 999 | 79% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1003 | 61% | 2024-03-29 | Won |
| 1068 | 865 | 76% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 974 | 55% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1073 | 66% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1094 | 68% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1131 | 999 | 68% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 964 | 986 | 47% | 2023-12-04 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1135 | 34% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 884 | 986 | 36% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1100.4 vs 1043.5 has a 58.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).