Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 977 | 56% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1109 | 46% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1054 | 53% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1017 | 939 | 61% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1227 | 955 | 83% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1227 | 955 | 83% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1211 | 1175 | 55% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1132 | 32% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1046 | 44% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1070 | 44% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1077 | 65% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 997 | 780 | 78% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1037.8 has a 55.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).