Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 928 | 61% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1127 | 43% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1054 | 53% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1035 | 973 | 59% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1238 | 996 | 80% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1238 | 996 | 80% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1215 | 13% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1135 | 34% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 969 | 55% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1098 | 40% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1051 | 65% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1215 | 30% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 983 | 58% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 998 | 780 | 78% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 980 | 55% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1043.3 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).