Derrick's Show
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1118 | 955 | 72% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1017 | 39% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1070 | 65% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 995.3 has a 56.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).