Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (21 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 37
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1051 | 47% | 2026-05-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 1034 | 43% | 2026-04-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1097 | 37% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1205 | 953 | 81% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1185 | 1215 | 46% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1070 | 45% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1215 | 993 | 78% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 868 | 917 | 43% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1035 | 56% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1007 | 53% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1202 | 1097 | 65% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 968 | 55% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1026 | 907 | 66% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 866 | 67% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1051 | 1263 | 23% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 1025 | 45% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 1070 | 52% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 998 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1030.3 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).