Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1170 | 53% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1033 | 69% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 900 | 917 | 48% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1018 | 58% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1084 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1149 | 38% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1080 | 36% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1051 | 889 | 72% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1155 | 34% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1199 | 1199 | 50% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 900 | 970 | 40% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1241 | 1088 | 71% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1050.5 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).