Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 46
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1146 | 46% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 1046 | 907 | 69% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2026-04-11 | Won |
| 1175 | 1174 | 50% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 786 | 1061 | 17% | 2025-11-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1088 | 45% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 698 | 1092 | 9% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 939 | 943 | 49% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 899 | 64% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1118 | 1039 | 61% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1077 | 1029 | 57% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 1124 | 54% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1077 | 74% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1030 | 39% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1070 | 43% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1177 | 946 | 79% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1109 | 1070 | 56% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1146 | 862 | 84% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 1198 | 39% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1051.5 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).