Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 46
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1129 | 48% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 969 | 907 | 59% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2026-04-11 | Won |
| 1215 | 1213 | 50% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 786 | 1075 | 16% | 2025-11-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1088 | 45% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 707 | 1088 | 10% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 943 | 45% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 899 | 64% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1077 | 1029 | 57% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1087 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1142 | 1129 | 52% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1051 | 77% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 998 | 54% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1019 | 41% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1151 | 30% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 946 | 84% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 862 | 82% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 983 | 1210 | 21% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1052.3 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).